The ContrafabulistsKin Lane and Audrey Watters – monitor predictions that technologists and marketers make about the future of technology. No surprise, most of the predictions are made about AI, a development whose future folks have been predicting incorrectly since the 1950s. Here are the predictions made this week:

Gartner released its latest predictions this week, prompting many outlets to rewrite the press release. Among the predictions: IOT, AI, IT, and other technology acronyms. “AI will eliminate 1.8M jobs but create 2.3M by 2020, claims Gartner,” TechRepublic writes.

VR and AR Headsets to See 50% Growth Every Year Through 2021,” says Campus Technology, rewriting a press release from IDC.

Airbus on track to fly its electric aerial taxi in 2018,” says Techcrunch.

Video Games Will Be a $109B Market By 2020,” Barron’s claims, following up with “Two Stocks to Buy.”

Oracle sees 10% of global GDP stored in blockchain by 2027,” says NextBigFuture.

According to Techcrunch, “GM to introduce two new all-electric cars by 2019 in path to zero emissions.”

Via Inside Higher Ed: “Earlier this year the Association of American Medical Colleges predicted that by 2030, the United States would have a shortage of up to 104,900 physicians.”

How predictions are made – according to The Financial Times: “How companies draw on science fiction.” How predictions get it wrong – according to MIT Technology Review: “The Seven Deadly Sins of AI Predictions.”

Audrey Watters


Predictions: The History of the Future

A Contrafabulists Production

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