The ContrafabulistsKin Lane and Audrey Watters – monitor predictions that technologists and marketers make about the future of technology. No surprise, most of the predictions are made about AI, a development whose future folks have been predicting incorrectly since the 1950s. Here are the predictions made this week:

The Trump Administration announced the US will withdraw from UNESCO by 2018. I’m not sure if the correct verb is “announced” or “predicted,” but I feel like there’s a certain amount of uncertainty with any statement from this White House so I’m including this news here.

Via Futurism: “A Global Leader in AI Promises Level 4 Self-Driving Cars by 2021.” The article does not explain what level 4 means, because clearly tech journalism – just like self-driving cars – believes that human attention is unnecessary.

According to Techcrunch, “Deutsche Post DHL to deploy self-driving delivery trucks by 2018.”

This Is How the World Will Shop by 2025,” says PC Magazine. Of course, “this” presumes you’re living in the Global North with access to broadband, gadgets, and a disposable income.

Digital payments expected to hit 726 billion by 2020,” says CNBC.

The Hollywood Reporter says thatOne-Third of Global Consumers Expected to Use VR by 2020.”

According to Tom’s Guide, “Foldable iPhone May Be Coming by 2020.” Like a flip phone? Um. Okay, Tom.

“There aren’t any dates attached to these predictions, but according to Peter Cookson Jr in Education Week, here are ”10 Disruptions That Will Revolutionize Education.“ Among the ”disruptions": teachers will no longer have desks.

This isn’t a prediction about the future of tech, per se. But according to MIT Technology Review, “Scientists Can Read a Bird’s Brain and Predict Its Next Song.”

Audrey Watters


Predictions: The History of the Future

A Contrafabulists Production

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