The ContrafabulistsKin Lane and Audrey Watters – monitor predictions that technologists and marketers make about the future of technology. No surprise, most of the predictions are made about AI, a development whose future folks have been predicting incorrectly since the 1950s.

Here are the predictions made this week:

Some predictions are promises (and visa versa). Via Techcrunch: “YouTube promises to increase content moderation and other enforcement staff to 10K in 2018.”

Campus Technology posts the “market research” (i.e. prediction press release) from International Data Corp: “Virtual and Augmented Reality to Nearly Double Each Year Through 2021.”

Via Techcrunch: “With your help, Code First: Girls wants to teach 20,000 young women to code by 2020.” (I like how this is phrased. It makes for the “easy out”: we didn’t teach 20,000 girls to code, because you didn’t help.)

Georgia Tech professor Mark Guzdial predicts that “The majority of US high school students will take CS classes online.” (No date given.)

It’s that time – when everyone starts publishing their predictions for the new year. From GitHub: “GitHub’s technology predictions for 2018.” From venture capitalist Tom Vander Ark: “15 Learning Predictions for the New Year.”

Audrey Watters


Predictions: The History of the Future

A Contrafabulists Production

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