The ContrafabulistsKin Lane and Audrey Watters – monitor predictions that technologists and marketers make about the future of technology. No surprise, most of the predictions are made about AI, a development whose future folks have been predicting incorrectly since the 1950s.

Here are some of the predictions made this week:

“Doctor Shortage May Reach 120,000 by 2030,” says the Association of American Medical Colleges.

Via CBS: “Arizona governor proposes 20 percent teacher pay raise by 2020 amid walkout threat.”

Via The Washington Post: “Deficit to top $1 trillion per year by 2020, CBO says.”

Mark Zuckerberg made a lot of predictions this week in his testimony before Congress that AI would do wondrous things in the future. Via The Information: “Facebook in 2020: ‘The AI Made Us Do It’.”

Via Cloudwatch: “Public cloud market to surpass $300bn by 2021 says Gartner – with 21% growth this year.”

Via Barron’s: “Netflix Will Be Cash-Flow Positive by 2022, Moody’s Says.”

I really need to collect all these bitcoin predictions in one place, so I can point and laugh later. Via CNBC: “Tech investor Tim Draper predicts bitcoin will reach $250,000 by 2022.”

Audrey Watters


Predictions: The History of the Future

A Contrafabulists Production

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